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Vladimir Putin seeks mediator role between US and Iran amid limited leverage

Anton Mardosov, reporting from Moscow, and our correspondent in Tehran assess the limits of Russian influence in Iran; Ben Caspit reports that Netanyahu could force a unity government with an attack on Iran after the elections.

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Russian President Vladimir Putin is seeking to position himself as a mediator between the United States and Iran, though his efforts have so far gained little traction with either side, according to an analysis by Al-Monitor.

The Russian leader is hoping to act as an intermediary or at least a reliable channel for messages between Washington and Tehran amid ongoing tensions. As part of this diplomatic push, Moscow has repeatedly proposed taking possession of Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium. Such a transfer would address demands recently outlined by US Vice President JD Vance, who called for a meaningful reduction in Tehran's nuclear enrichment capabilities.

Despite these proposals, Moscow faces significant hurdles in regaining diplomatic leverage in the Middle East. Russia previously enjoyed substantial regional respect and influence prior to its 2022 invasion of Ukraine. However, that standing has deteriorated sharply under the weight of the ongoing war and heavy international sanctions.

Russia's regional standing suffered an additional blow following the 2024 collapse of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's regime, after which Assad was granted asylum in Russia. Consequently, Moscow currently finds itself with limited resources and diminished sway across the region.

Even so, Putin has continued diplomatic engagement with Iranian leadership, holding two meetings with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian in recent weeks to discuss regional dynamics. Al-Monitor correspondents reporting from Moscow and Tehran noted, however, that Russian influence over decision-making in Iran remains strictly constrained.

Meanwhile, reporting from Israel indicates domestic political factors could also shape developments in the conflict. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu could potentially leverage military action against Iran following upcoming elections to compel the formation of a national unity government.

With both the United States under President Donald Trump and authorities in Tehran maintaining their positions, Moscow's overtures have not yet altered the trajectory of the standoff. Neither Washington nor Tehran has shown a clear readiness to accept Russia as a principal broker in resolving the conflict.

Explained: catch up on this storyWhy the US-Iran conflict is causing a global fuel crisisA seven-month war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran has severed maritime oil routes through the Strait of Hormuz, sending diesel to record highs and prompting the G7 to release 100 million barrels from emergency reserves.Read the explainer →

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Reported from Al-Monitor.

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