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Donald Trump forecasts quick conclusion to Iran conflict and lower oil costs

• Pezeshkian decries US blockade, insists ‘military force’ will not compel Tehran into submission • Washington weighs using ‘Mother Of All Bombs’ against Iranian energy sites, CNN reports WASHINGTON: US President Donald Trump once again predicted a swift end to the war with Iran, and a sharp drop in oil prices once the conflict concludes, even as Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian warned that military action cannot force them into submission. “The Iran war will end very soon … Soon, as they want it to end,” Trump told reporters in Montana. “They’ll never have a nuclear weapon, and oil prices will drop like a rock.” According to Anadolu Agency, Trump also expressed uncertainty over which Ira­nian officials the US was negotiating with. “They don’t have a navy. They don’t have an air force. Their army is decimated. Their leaders are gone,” Trump said. “I should have probably left their leaders because I don’t know who the hell we’re negotiating with.” “Iran was the bully of the Middle East,” he said, adding that the country was no longer as powerful as it had been. Trump also claimed that US strikes had destroyed Iran’s naval fleet and rendered its military aircraft unusable. He said Iran had 159 ships and asserted that none remained operational, while also claiming that its fighter jets had been destroyed on the country’s runways. ‘Iran won’t submit to force’ Meanwhile in Tehran, President Pezeshkian warned that military action cannot force a country into submission, adding that his country “must find a way to strengthen national cohesion and unity”, Al Jazeera reported. He said that the country was facing its most intense blockade since the 1979 Revolution, accusing the United States of seeking to provoke public protests. “Over the 48 years since the Revolution, we have never faced such intense blockade, war and difficulties as we are facing now,” Pezeshkian said in a speech broadcast by state television. He accused Washington of seeking to make life difficult for Iranians to fuel public anger and trigger unrest. Pezeshkian said the US was focusing its efforts on making “the people become upset and face difficulties, and then for social protests to emerge so that they can achieve their sinister objectives”. ‘Mother Of All Bombs’ Meanwhile, the US is considering using the GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast (MOAB) bomb — better known by its nickname, the “Mother Of All Bombs” — against Iran if Trump decides to renew combat in the deadlocked war, CNN reported on Thursday. The military is planning for the potential use of the weapon to target Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear sites, according to the news outlet, which quoted officials familiar with the matter. “The MOAB is a massive information operation type weapon that is great for huge area clearance but not much else,” a source familiar with the plans told CNN. “It is definitely not designed as a deep penetration warhead.” Trump is trying to boost his low approval ratings ahead of November’s midterm elections, with polls showing the unpopular war in Iran and the fuel and other price rises it has caused are hurting his Republican Party. Diplomatic efforts to end the conflict have been at an impasse since the summer, and Washington has in recent weeks dialled back military operations in favour of economic pressure. However, officials have raised doubts over the efficacy of the bomb if deployed, particularly its ability to destroy suspected underground nuclear sites in Iran, as well as concerns over possible civilian casualties from such a huge weapon. Published in Dawn, October 16th, 2026

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US President Donald Trump has projected an imminent conclusion to the ongoing armed conflict with Iran, asserting that the end of hostilities will trigger a sharp reduction in global petroleum costs. Speaking to journalists in Montana, Trump claimed that Iran's armed forces have been severely degraded and vowed that the nation will never obtain a nuclear weapon.

During his remarks, reported by Anadolu Agency, Trump stated that American attacks had effectively dismantled the Iranian navy and grounded its aviation capabilities. He asserted that none of Iran's 159 naval vessels remain operational and claimed that combat jets were eliminated directly on airfields. Describing Iran as having lost its former regional dominance, Trump also remarked that the loss of opposing leadership had left Washington uncertain about who is representing Tehran in discussions.

In Tehran, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian rejected the idea that military power could force his country to surrender. In an address broadcast on state television, Pezeshkian said the nation is currently enduring the harshest economic blockade and hardship experienced since the 1979 revolution, as reported by Al Jazeera. He urged citizens to maintain solidarity, accusing the United States of intentionally creating economic distress to incite domestic unrest and provoke protests against the government.

The exchanges follow reports that the American military has examined options to deploy its largest conventional munition, the GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast, commonly referred to as the MOAB. According to CNN, defense planners have weighed potentially utilizing the high-yield explosive against Iranian nuclear installations and energy facilities should combat operations intensify.

However, defense officials cited by CNN expressed skepticism regarding the weapon's utility against fortified subterranean targets, noting that the munition is built for surface blast destruction rather than subterranean penetration. Concerns have also been highlighted regarding the danger of civilian casualties if such a weapon were utilized.

Diplomatic talks aimed at resolving the confrontation have remained stalled since the summer. While Washington recently shifted emphasis from direct strikes toward heightened economic sanctions, Trump faces mounting political pressure domestically. Opinion surveys indicate that voter dissatisfaction with rising energy costs and the conflict itself has weighed on support for the Republican Party leading into the November midterm elections.

Explained: catch up on this storyWhy the US-Iran conflict is causing a global fuel crisisA seven-month war involving the United States, Israel, and Iran has severed maritime oil routes through the Strait of Hormuz, sending diesel to record highs and prompting the G7 to release 100 million barrels from emergency reserves.Read the explainer →

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Reported from Dawn (Pakistan).

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